ANALYSIS OF THE CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT SUSTAINABILITY IN TURKEY

Zeynep Gizem CAN; Ufuk CAN

doi:https://doi.org/10.51945/cuiibfd.911559

Article Details

ANALYSIS OF THE CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT SUSTAINABILITY IN TURKEY

Authors:

Zeynep Gizem CAN | Ufuk CAN

Publisher:

Cukurova University

Main Topics:

Sociology and anthropology

Journal:

Journal of Cukurova University Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences 2021 Vol.25 Issue 1, pp.161-178

Document Type:

Article

Publication Date:

6/2021

Document Language:

English

Document ID (Org No.):

2000739645

Frequency:

Bi-Annual

eISSN:

2636-8889

pISSN:

1300-3747

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.51945/cuiibfd.911559

Abstract:

 

This paper examines the sustainability of current account deficit in Turkey with the help of an annual and a monthly data set covering the period 1923-2019 and 2008:1-2020:8, respectively. The data set is divided into subperiods and is implemented various traditional and breakpoint unit root tests, cointegration analysis and error correction models (ECM). The findings reveal that the export and import series are cointegrated for all of subperiods, and that the current account deficit is sustainable in Turkey in a weak form. This study employs a comprehensive approach by implementing miscellaneous econometric analysis on the data set to contribute the current literature on current account deficit in Turkey. As to our policy recommendation, in order to sustain it in strong form or close, reducing the share of imported inputs in the production, granting incentives to exporting firms and import substituted production should be encouraged.

 

Bu çalışma 1923-2019 ve 2008:1-2020:8 dönemini kapsayan veri setiyle Türkiye’de cari işlemler açığının sürdürülebilirliğini incelemektedir. Veri seti alt dönemlere bölünerek çeşitli geleneksel ve yapısal kırılmalı birim kök testleri ve eşbütünleşme analizleri ve hata düzeltme modeli uygulanmaktadır. Bulgular ihracat ve ithalat serisinin bütün alt dönemlerde eşbütünleşik olduğunu ve Türkiye’de cari işlemler açığının zayıf formda sürdürülebilir olduğunu ortaya koymaktadır. Bu çalışma, veri seti üzerine kapsamı ekonometrik analizler yapılarak kapsayıcı bir bir yaklaşım uygulanması yönüyle Türkiye’deki cari işlemler açığı literatürüne katkı sağlamaktadır. Cari açığı kapatmak veya güçlü formda sürdürebilmek için, üretimde ithal girdilerin payı azaltılması, ihracat yapan firmalara teşvik verilmesi, ithal ikame üretim süreçlerinin cesaretlendirilmesi gerekmektedir.

Article Details

ANALYSIS OF THE CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT SUSTAINABILITY IN TURKEY

Authors: Zeynep Gizem CAN | Ufuk CAN

Publisher: Cukurova University

Main Topics: Sociology and anthropology

Journal: Journal of Cukurova University Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences 2021 Vol.25 Issue 1, pp.161-178

Document Type: Article

Publication Date: 6/2021

Document Language: English

Document ID (Org No.): 2000739645

Frequency: Bi-Annual

eISSN: 2636-8889

pISSN: 1300-3747

DOI: https://doi.org/10.51945/cuiibfd.911559

Issues

Authors:

Zeynep Gizem CAN | Ufuk CAN

Publisher:

Cukurova University

Main Topics:

Sociology and anthropology

Journal:

Journal of Cukurova University Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences 2021 Vol.25 Issue 1, pp.161-178

Document Type:

Article

Publication Date:

6/2021

Document Language:

English

Document ID (Org No.):

2000739645

Frequency:

Bi-Annual

eISSN:

2636-8889

pISSN:

1300-3747

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.51945/cuiibfd.911559