REMITTANCES AND POVERTY DYNAMICS IN THE COMOROS: AN ANALYSIS USING THE ARDL AND NARDL MODELS

Galo BA

Article Details

REMITTANCES AND POVERTY DYNAMICS IN THE COMOROS: AN ANALYSIS USING THE ARDL AND NARDL MODELS

Authors:

Galo BA

Publisher:

مجلة الدراسات المتعددة التخصصات في العلوم الاقتصادية والاجتماعية

Journal:

Revue des Études Multidisciplinaires en Sciences Économiques et Sociales Vol.11 Issue 2, pp.291-332

Document Type:

Article

Publication Date:

11/2026

Document Language:

French

Document ID (Org No.):

2001841488

pISSN:

2489-2068

Abstract:

 In a context of persistent economic vulnerability, this paper investigates the impact of remittances on two key dimensions of household welfare: consumption and infant mortality, using dynamic econometric frameworks based on ARDL and NARDL models. The results confirm the existence of a stable long-run relationship between remittances and the selected welfare indicators. While remittances support household consumption, their impact remains contingent upon structural variables such as GDP per capita and national savings. Regarding health outcomes, remittances significantly reduce infant mortality, with stronger effects observed in the presence of positive shocks. The speed of adjustment toward equilibrium suggests that households are able to absorb external shocks, despite weak institutional capacities. These findings underscore the importance of integrating remittances into public policy frameworks, particularly through financial inclusion, banking of remittance flows, and alignment with social expenditure programs.

Article Details

REMITTANCES AND POVERTY DYNAMICS IN THE COMOROS: AN ANALYSIS USING THE ARDL AND NARDL MODELS

Authors: Galo BA

Publisher: مجلة الدراسات المتعددة التخصصات في العلوم الاقتصادية والاجتماعية

Journal: Revue des Études Multidisciplinaires en Sciences Économiques et Sociales Vol.11 Issue 2, pp.291-332

Document Type: Article

Publication Date: 11/2026

Document Language: French

Document ID (Org No.): 2001841488

pISSN: 2489-2068

Issues

Authors:

Galo BA

Publisher:

مجلة الدراسات المتعددة التخصصات في العلوم الاقتصادية والاجتماعية

Journal:

Revue des Études Multidisciplinaires en Sciences Économiques et Sociales Vol.11 Issue 2, pp.291-332

Document Type:

Article

Publication Date:

11/2026

Document Language:

French

Document ID (Org No.):

2001841488

pISSN:

2489-2068