التنبؤ بالتحصيل الدراسي لطلاب الجامعة من خلال بعض المتغيرات المعرفية و الديموجرافية باستخدام كل من الانحدار الخطي المتعدد و الانحدار اللوغاريتمي الثنائي

سوسن إبراهيم أبو العلا شلبي

doi:10.12816/0015846

Article Details

التنبؤ بالتحصيل الدراسي لطلاب الجامعة من خلال بعض المتغيرات المعرفية و الديموجرافية باستخدام كل من الانحدار الخطي المتعدد و الانحدار اللوغاريتمي الثنائي

Authors:

سوسن إبراهيم أبو العلا شلبي

Publisher:

Damanhour University

Main Topics:

Education

Journal:

Majallat al-Dirāsāt al-Tarbawīyah wa-al-Insanīyah 2013 vol.5 Issue 4 P2, pp.171-265

Document Type:

Article

Publication Date:

10/2013

Document Language:

Arabic

Document ID (Org No.):

71988

Frequency:

Quarterly

pISSN:

20907885

DOI:

10.12816/0015846

Descriptors:

Abstract:

 The current study sought to predict academic achievement (as measured by the Cumulative average (GPA (and pass/fail to achieve the requirements of the preparatory Year Program) through a number of independent variables. These are the percentage of high school diplomas, of the achievement test and of mental abilities test and demographic variables (gender, nationality); Using multiple linear regression and binary logistic regression. The community is one of preparatory year students at King Saud University, totaling (3821) students enrolled in the academic year 1430 -1431 Hijra ,corresponding to 2008 --2,009 AD. The main aim of the present paper is to compare results yielded by both statistical procedures. Four hypotheses are proposed:1) there is no significant relationship between academic achievement as measured with the Cumulative average (GPA) at the end of Preparatory Year Program, and each of the grads of high school test , the grads of achievement test, and the grads of the mental abilities test and demographic variables. 2) It is not possible to predict academic achievement as measured with the Cumulative average (GPA) at the end of Preparatory Year Program through the independent variables. 3) It is not possible to predict academic achievement as measured with success / failure to achieve the academic requirements through independent variables. 4) There are no differences between the linear regression model and the logistic regression model in terms of the Goodness-of-fit data and predictive ability.The assumptions of both regression models have been verified. The results showed the rejection of the first, second and fourth hypothesis, while the third hypothesis was accepted partially. The results showed that the nationality variable did not contribute to the prediction of dependent variable in the logistic regression model. The results of the fourth hypothesis showed that logistic regression model was better approach than the linear regression model; where the percentage of explained variance Percentage in the dependent variable using the linear regression model (49.3%), while logistic regression model was able to predict the dependent variable correctly by (77.8%) of the total respondents.

Article Details

التنبؤ بالتحصيل الدراسي لطلاب الجامعة من خلال بعض المتغيرات المعرفية و الديموجرافية باستخدام كل من الانحدار الخطي المتعدد و الانحدار اللوغاريتمي الثنائي

Authors:

سوسن إبراهيم أبو العلا شلبي

Publisher:

Damanhour University

Main Topics:

Education

Journal:

Majallat al-Dirāsāt al-Tarbawīyah wa-al-Insanīyah 2013 vol.5 Issue 4 P2, pp.171-265

Document Type:

Article

Publication Date:

10/2013

Document Language:

Arabic

Document ID (Org No.):

71988

Frequency:

Quarterly

pISSN:

20907885

DOI:

10.12816/0015846

Descriptors:

ACCOMPLISHMENT

ACCOMPLISHMENT MEASUREMENT

COLLEGE STUDENTS

HIGHER EDUCATION

SAUDI ARABIA

Issues

Article Details

التنبؤ بالتحصيل الدراسي لطلاب الجامعة من خلال بعض المتغيرات المعرفية و الديموجرافية باستخدام كل من الانحدار الخطي المتعدد و الانحدار اللوغاريتمي الثنائي

Authors: سوسن إبراهيم أبو العلا شلبي

Publisher: Damanhour University

Main Topics: Education

Journal: Majallat al-Dirāsāt al-Tarbawīyah wa-al-Insanīyah 2013 vol.5 Issue 4 P2, pp.171-265

Document Type: Article

Publication Date: 10/2013

Document Language: Arabic

Document ID (Org No.): 71988

Frequency: Quarterly

pISSN: 20907885

DOI: 10.12816/0015846

Descriptors:

ACCOMPLISHMENT

ACCOMPLISHMENT MEASUREMENT

COLLEGE STUDENTS

HIGHER EDUCATION

SAUDI ARABIA

Issues

Authors:

سوسن إبراهيم أبو العلا شلبي

Publisher:

Damanhour University

Main Topics:

Education

Journal:

Majallat al-Dirāsāt al-Tarbawīyah wa-al-Insanīyah 2013 vol.5 Issue 4 P2, pp.171-265

Document Type:

Article

Publication Date:

10/2013

Document Language:

Arabic

Document ID (Org No.):

71988

Frequency:

Quarterly

pISSN:

20907885

DOI:

10.12816/0015846