L' ÉCONOMIE DE LA CONNAISSANCE ET CHOMAGE AU MAROC : INVESTIGATIONS EMPIRIQUES SUR LES EFFETS ASYMETRIQUES VIA LE MODELE NARDL

Mounir; Mounir TAJOUI; Tarik Azougui; Abdellah ECHAOUI; Oussama RITAHI

Article Details

L' ÉCONOMIE DE LA CONNAISSANCE ET CHOMAGE AU MAROC : INVESTIGATIONS EMPIRIQUES SUR LES EFFETS ASYMETRIQUES VIA LE MODELE NARDL

Authors:

Mounir | Mounir TAJOUI | Tarik Azougui | Abdellah ECHAOUI | Oussama RITAHI

Publisher:

مجلة الدراسات المتعددة التخصصات في العلوم الاقتصادية والاجتماعية

Journal:

Revue des Études Multidisciplinaires en Sciences Économiques et Sociales Vol.11 Issue 1, pp.1-31

Document Type:

Article

Publication Date:

3/2026

Document Language:

French

Document ID (Org No.):

2001841457

pISSN:

2489-2068

Abstract:

 This paper investigates the asymmetric impact of the pillars of the knowledge economy on unemployment in Morocco over the period 1990–2021. Against the backdrop of structural changes in the labor market and the gradual diffusion of technology and skills, the study employs a Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model to capture the differentiated effects of positive and negative shocks related to innovation, technological openness, digital diffusion, human capital investment, and vocational training. The empirical findings reveal the existence of a nonlinear long-run relationship between unemployment and the dimensions of the knowledge economy. In the long run, foreign direct investment inflows and public education expenditure are associated with higher unemployment, reflecting structural rigidities and delayed labor market adjustments, whereas vocational training significantly contributes to unemployment reduction. Moreover, the results highlight pronounced asymmetric effects of digital diffusion and scientific innovation, with negative shocks exerting a stronger and more persistent impact on unemployment than positive shocks. In the short run, the labor market appears particularly sensitive to adverse variations in knowledge-based factors, confirming the presence of adjustment rigidities. Overall, the findings emphasize the necessity of accounting for nonlinearities and asymmetries when analyzing the relationship between the knowledge economy and employment, and they call for integrated public policies that jointly promote innovation, human capital development, and institutional support to achieve sustainable unemployment reduction.

Article Details

L' ÉCONOMIE DE LA CONNAISSANCE ET CHOMAGE AU MAROC : INVESTIGATIONS EMPIRIQUES SUR LES EFFETS ASYMETRIQUES VIA LE MODELE NARDL

Authors: Mounir | Mounir TAJOUI | Tarik Azougui | Abdellah ECHAOUI | Oussama RITAHI

Publisher: مجلة الدراسات المتعددة التخصصات في العلوم الاقتصادية والاجتماعية

Journal: Revue des Études Multidisciplinaires en Sciences Économiques et Sociales Vol.11 Issue 1, pp.1-31

Document Type: Article

Publication Date: 3/2026

Document Language: French

Document ID (Org No.): 2001841457

pISSN: 2489-2068

Issues

Authors:

Mounir | Mounir TAJOUI | Tarik Azougui | Abdellah ECHAOUI | Oussama RITAHI

Publisher:

مجلة الدراسات المتعددة التخصصات في العلوم الاقتصادية والاجتماعية

Journal:

Revue des Études Multidisciplinaires en Sciences Économiques et Sociales Vol.11 Issue 1, pp.1-31

Document Type:

Article

Publication Date:

3/2026

Document Language:

French

Document ID (Org No.):

2001841457

pISSN:

2489-2068